Market Analysis

Nasdaq Hits Record High as US Job Growth Revised Sharply Lower

Downward revision of 911,000 jobs through March 2025 solidifies investor bets on a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.

The Nasdaq Composite closed at a record high this week, a rally largely fueled by a significant downward revision of U.S. job growth that has solidified investor expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the near future.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced a preliminary revision indicating that job growth was overstated by through March 2025. This substantial adjustment paints a picture of a weaker labor market than previously understood, a key factor in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. The market is now pricing in a higher probability of a rate cut at the central bank's September meeting, which would lower borrowing costs for companies and consumers, often stimulating economic activity and boosting stock prices.

In response to the news, the tech-heavy saw significant gains, reflecting investor optimism that a less aggressive Federal Reserve will benefit growth-oriented technology stocks. The S&P 500 also climbed, buoyed by the prospect of lower interest rates. The weaker jobs data overshadowed other market-moving news, including Apple's latest product announcements, as investors honed in on the macroeconomic implications of the revision.

This latest development adds to a growing body of evidence suggesting that the U.S. economy is cooling, a trend that the Federal Reserve has been aiming for in its fight against inflation. While a slowing economy can be a cause for concern, in the current environment, it is being interpreted as a positive sign that the central bank will have the justification it needs to begin easing monetary policy. All eyes will now be on the upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and future economic data releases as investors look for further confirmation of a policy shift.